MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is becoming a major clinical challenge because a meaningful proportion of cases arise without established cirrhosis. This differs from viral hepatitis–related HCC, where surveillance is largely built around cirrhosis-based risk.
Recent multicenter data suggest that non-cirrhotic patients may account for about one-third of MASLD-related HCC cases, often presenting at an older age and with larger tumors, because they are usually outside routine surveillance programs.
The pathogenesis is driven by insulin resistance, lipotoxicity, oxidative stress, chronic inflammation, immune dysfunction, and genetic susceptibility. Metabolic comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes, obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia amplify carcinogenic risk, even before cirrhosis develops.
The major clinical problem is risk stratification. Current AASLD guidance does not recommend routine HCC surveillance for non-cirrhotic MASLD, while EASL allows consideration in selected advanced fibrosis patients based on individual risk assessment.
Future strategies must move beyond cirrhosis alone and incorporate fibrosis stage, diabetes, age, sex, platelet count, elastography, genetics, and biomarkers such as AFP-based models, GALAD, and PIVKA-II.
Key Message:
MASLD-HCC without cirrhosis exposes a major gap in current surveillance. The future will require personalized, risk-based screening models to identify high-risk non-cirrhotic MASLD patients before cancer presents at an advanced stage.