GastroAGI Logo
OverviewBlogsAbout
Trending TopicsConference
Topics/Cirrhosis Liver/Prediction of the Risk of Developing Severe Liver Disease

Prediction of the Risk of Developing Severe Liver Disease

Clinical knowledge base curated and reviewed by GastroAGI TeamLast updated October 1, 2025

Quick Answer

The CORE model, developed by researchers at Karolinska Institutet, predicts the 10-year risk of developing severe liver diseases, such as cirrhosis and liver cancer, using a simple blood test. It combines three routinely measured liver enzyme levels (AST, ALT, GGT) with age and sex.


The CORE model, developed by researchers at Karolinska Institutet, predicts the 10-year risk of developing severe liver diseases, such as cirrhosis and liver cancer, using a simple blood test. It combines three routinely measured liver enzyme levels (AST, ALT, GGT) with age and sex. The model demonstrated 88% predictive accuracy, outperforming the widely used FIB-4 method, and is particularly suited for primary care settings. Validated in cohorts from Finland and the UK, it is accessible via a web-based calculator (www.core-model.com). Further testing among high-risk groups is needed, and efforts are underway to integrate it into electronic medical record systems for streamlined clinical use.

Related Q&A

POCUS-Guided AKI Management in Cirrhosis: Hepatology | July 2026

Introduction: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent and life-threatening complication of cirrhosis, with management often complicated by inaccurate assessment of intravascular volume and the presence of cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM). This prospective study evaluated whether...

A Novel Pro-Resolving Target (Annexin A1) for ACLF: Hepatology | May 2026

Introduction: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by overwhelming systemic inflammation and immune dysregulation, leading to high short-term mortality. This study used advanced single-cell and spatial transcriptomic technologies to define the immune landscape of ACLF...

Distal Esophageal Varices in Fontan Circulation: Hepatology | May 2026

Introduction: Adults with Fontan-type circulation are increasingly recognized to develop Fontan-associated liver disease and portal hypertension. This prospective study explored the prevalence, anatomical distribution, and hemodynamic characteristics of esophageal varices (EV), with particular emphasis on...

Annexin A1-A Novel Pro-Resolving Target for ACLF: Hepatology | May 2026

Introduction: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by overwhelming systemic inflammation and immune dysregulation, leading to high short-term mortality. This study used advanced single-cell and spatial transcriptomic technologies to define the immune landscape of ACLF...

Simvastatin Improves Survival After Variceal Bleeding in Cirrhosis: AJG | July 2026

Introduction: Despite advances in the management of portal hypertension, mortality after variceal bleeding remains high in patients with cirrhosis. Experimental and clinical studies suggest that statins may improve portal hypertension and hepatic vascular function. This...

Pre-Emptive CRRT Improves Outcomes in ALF with Cerebral Oedema: AP&T | June 2026

Introduction: Acute liver failure (ALF) complicated by cerebral oedema carries a high risk of early mortality, primarily due to hyperammonemia and intracranial hypertension. The optimal timing of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) in these critically...

GastroAGI Logo

We are pioneers in clinical intelligence, dedicated to helping gastroenterologists harness the power of artificial intelligence to drive precision, efficiency, and patient growth.

For You

For StudentsFor CliniciansFor ResearchersSoonFor Patients

Core Tools

MELD-Na ScoreChild-PughFIB-4 IndexGlasgow-BlatchfordBISAP Score

Explore

OverviewAboutCalculators
Trending Topics
Conference Briefings
Blog Insights
©GastroAGI 2026
Privacy PolicyTerms of UseMedical Disclaimer